Discover how emotional biases impact stock market crash estimates. See why expert analysis suggests lower risk and learn how to refine your own forecasts.

Easily ranking among the most agonizing options-based ideas, Uber Technologies ($UBER) nevertheless presents a nuanced ...

Discover why options market data suggests a lower crash risk for U.S. stocks than pundit surveys, and how to optimize asset ...

With the broader economy under stress, it’s natural to be pensive about card payment services provider Visa ($V). After all, ...

Abstract: During an eruptive event, the near-real-time monitoring of volcanic explosion onset and its mass flow rate (MFR) is a key factor to predict ash plume dispersion and to mitigate risk to air ...

Probability is a fundamental concept in mathematics and statistics that deals with the likelihood of events occurring. It provides a framework for quantifying uncertainty and making predictions based ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

Bank exams typically feature questions on simple probability, conditional probability, combinations and permutations, events (independent and dependent), Bayes’ theorem, and sometimes more complex ...

James Chen, CMT is an expert trader, investment adviser, and global market strategist. Somer G. Anderson is CPA, doctor of accounting, and an accounting and finance professor who has been working in ...

The mathematician Daniel Litt has driven social media users to distraction with a series of simple-seeming but counterintuitive probability puzzles. In late January, Daniel Litt posed an innocent ...